So: Autism: High Sensory Precision / Low Belief Precision.
Low belief precision is also known as “uncertainty”. But it’s also possible that the high sensory precision leads to a high belief precision that is overly specific to the particular situation and is not good for generalizing with.
For contrast, psychosis would be a case of a high belief precision.
“In particular, we think autism is associated with an inability to flexibly adjust the degree of precision in a different context. The increased precision will cause more prediction error to be upregulated and induce learning. This will lead to overfitting to specific contexts, and priors that may sometimes be very strong, but which are unlikely to be generally applicable.