Peter, because of you, I’ve crossed paths with this Kenneth Udut fellow. Initially I called him a raging fucktard. But we have since become friends. I admire the dude, for whatever reasons. Also glad to have you in my circles man. You’re one of my favorite brains on this planet.
Since then, of course, we have them.
I think about probabilities more like an insurance adjuster thinks about “risk probability”: They include a LOT of risk factors, some quite unexpected, whereas standard statistical probability methods only seem to use whatever leads them to their goal point.