One of the problems with using mathematics to project into the future, is that it works with the implicit assumption of no change in the conditions outside of the variables used. Working with probabilities seems to mitigate this problem somewhere but it  can give a false sense of security in the answers.  It’s very pragmatic to run models but they are very limited prophecies.  

One of the problems with using mathematics to project into the future, is that it works with the implicit assumption of no change in the conditions outside of the variables used.

Working with probabilities seems to mitigate this problem somewhere but it  can give a false sense of security in the answers. 

It’s very pragmatic to run models but they are very limited prophecies. 

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6 − = zero

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