I mean, incumbent always has the benefit; his lackluster performance at that debate thing won’t affect the # of votes for him much because President is _mostly_ a figurehead – or usually is. Government runs mostly without their input. The fact that Trump lost in 2020 is actually a spectacularly awful loss. Incumbents _should_ win again – it was bizarre that Carter lost, bizarre that Trump lost.

 I mean, incumbent always has the benefit; his lackluster performance at that debate thing won’t affect the # of votes for him much because President is _mostly_ a figurehead – or usually is. Government runs mostly without their input.