I err on the side of “belief-with-a-side-of-but” and I watch the reaction of the accused.
The main reason I err on the side of belief is: People do stupid stuff when they think nobody’s watching. People accustomed to power also get stupid and sloppy because the power glow protects them.
Yet politics is strange and sex abuse is a powerful way to take someone down.
So, I look at the response of the accused. Does it help me ascertain guilt? Only slightly. Then their public history.
But then I have to scrutinze myself: Why do I believe Roy Moore is badness but more likely to believe Kevin Spacey’s first accuser mixed up his memory of the play he was in and meeting Kevin Spacey at a party? [gaslighting]
Quite simply I like one more than the other. I believe Kevin Spacey is a creep now btw.
In the end, though, this is the court of public opinion where innocent-until-proven-guilty doesn’t need to apply.