I don’t like the negative language but barring that, I can see how this might work as a model.
Autistic symptoms from a Bayesian viewpoint. (A) Perception. Weakly established abstract representations provide predictions with low precision and fail in guiding attention toward informative stimuli. Especially for complex stimuli with frequent irrelevant variations, such as social stimuli, attention can be attracted by unpredicted changes in irrelevant formal aspects. Overweighted low-level prediction errors, due to overly high sensory precision, cause overfitting of the internal model and difficulties in extracting meaningful information. This impairs the establishment of high-level (abstract) representations and reduces the ability to explain away future prediction errors. (B ) Behavior. Minimization of prediction errors is achieved more easily by moving away from unpredictable environments into highly regular environments with repetitive actions and rituals, since they can be precisely predicted by a model without many levels of abstraction. (C) Interaction. Social interactions in particular are characterized by complex dynamic processes and irrelevant random features, which require regularization and suppression by an internal model with a high degree of abstraction and precise predictions. A relative lack of this model makes it difficult to infer the causes of social stimuli (i.e., understand the meaning of social processes) and, thus, to interact with others. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4911361/