I look forward to the article if you write it! I love predictions about technology and debating them.
DART should replace but it probably won’t because… sigh – it’s coming from Google. It’s rare that they stand behind a product of theirs for more than a few years. I love Google… but everytime I build on them, they yank it away a few years later, so I’ve learned not to put my full faith in their experiments having long term stability.
They’re creators and innovators and copiers too of course ( but everybody copies everybody else – that’s normal ) – but they’re not too good at being dependable when you hook into them. I’m a lot like Google; I’m not very dependable over the long term because I’m always going gung-ho, finishing a project and then I don’t want to support it after a while.
I think a revolution will come from within the community itself. I just don’t know where from yet. SOMETHING has to replace the one-way browser model – it’s ancient. Gaming technologies have the greatest potential for the future of the web… but there’s too much variety for a stable “something” to hang around for a few years.
Perhaps a new protocol will help. Some kind of two-way, asychononous secure protocol that can be built-upon that’s always multiple-to-multiple with built-in lag corrections. A core nugget that everything else rests upon and moves with… like wheels that can go in every direction vs something that only goes forward and doesn’t turn (like the web).
Right now the Internet is built upon “Store and forward”.
But gaming can’t do “store and forward”. It needs more than that. The future web needs more than that. A revolution in gaming that unifies should unify everything, from how we communicate with each other online, to immersive gaming, to.. well, everything.
It’s hard to explain how I felt when I saw Minecraft for the first time. I just… stood there.
And I didn’t HAVE to do anything.
Just like sitting in front of my computer on a website.
I can just sit here and do. NOTHING but… read let’s say.
There’s a lot of hidden power in that way of thinking and it was uncommon to see that in a game.
But anyway, I’ve got my head 80-100 yrs in the future where screens are gone and incorporated into furniture and wallpaper and paint or into clothing.
But in the next generation or two, you’re right – speed is of the essence. Faster refresh rates that operate in an environment that has the appearance of “no lag”. will be critical. Phones have the best potential for growth – well – the TECH in the phones.
Imagine stackable processors? You have two phones, stack them, and you double your video/memory/storage capabilities? Or transmission speed?
Local storage can be quite small now and fast; keyboards and controllers entirely separte from the units and displays… or the display can double as the controller/keyboard (one of the best parts of touch screens I think), … and I love how smooth phones render video without lag and do memory management.
They’re still not robust enough to handle complicated calculations but if they can make video super-fast and smooth – as you were saying – it almost doesn’t matter if it can’t really compute much beyond position, colors displayed, etc, because to our eyes, everything will appear seamless and smooth.
It’s entirely possible for the game mechanics computations to be done on servers INSTEAD of locally.. and only the videos and moves transferred to the users. that would be revolutionary because then all we need is the equivalent of dumb terminals everywhere that display really good video and sound.
The mind boggles. I love future thinking.
You’re more specific about companies and things; I did some stock investing years ago and got pretty good at it… although predicting success and demise of big companies was quite tricky. I was good at finding “hidden gems” (little companies) that became successful but I was less good at predicting doom and success of big companies.
I predicted Nintendo would die in the mid 90s. I was wrong. I predicted Microsoft would NEVER come out with a decent gaming system. I was very wrong. You might be right about these things; I just know that I suck at predicting big companies 😛
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