Do you see though, why it is dangerous for “earnings forecasts” to be wrong? And repeatedly wrong?
Do you think the solution is “Trust Team [leader name]”?
First off: earnings forecasts are ALWAYS somewhat wrong. There is wiggle room for that stuff because economics is tea-leaf reading. You know that from investing. Candles or squiggles or tea leaves, all similar.
BUT, you can make SOME educated guesses given certain information.
Now comes along chaos-maker.
Who makes money?
His friends? maybe.
People like Soros, as he would bet on human emotion and created a whole system people use for investing that works very well in chaos.
But who fails? People planning and building things for the future.