Ah yes. Yeah, in this video the curve flattening is set to approximately 11 billion by next century, which seems more reasonable.
He starts by showing at a) we reached “peak child” around 1900. At any given time, there’s two billion children on the planet.
That number hasn’t increased. It’s stayed at two billion children for over 100 years.
What’s changed is longer lifespans, fewer babies being born and out of those babies being born, most survive.
So as we get better healthcare and better standards of living for those in extreme poverty, the overall lifespan of the people will continue to grow.
But we’ll still have two billion children at any given point in time.
Eventually the population will hit and stay at 11 billion.
Well, according to the statistics he’s been using, the average amount of children per family worldwide is 2.
He gives Bangladesh as a strong example. The population has bloomed tremendously over the past 40 years but at the SAME TIME, amount of children per family has gone down to about 2, whereas it was once 7.
The video is very persuasive that we’ll be fine here even at 11 billion.
For example, in the most extreme poverty areas, owning a bicycle is a huge achievement over shoes. The next step is a motorbike. After that, a car. After that, the ability to fly on a plane.
Along with those increases, the average wages:
$1/day = shoes to $100/day = airplane.
As the $1/day gets eliminated, so also will manual harvesting of crops be replaced with machinery to automate it, better management of water supplies and such.
So, same space, more efficient usage.
Of course we have the coal/oil problem but there’s plenty of work being done there. As long as the first world sets the example for the rest, when they reach our stage, which they are and will, the planet will be fine.
I was surprised at the literacy rate of the planet:
80%. 80% of the WORLD is literate. That blew my mind.
h! More eyes. A good portion of media is paid for by advertisers. More disaster promise, more eyes watching the news *and* the ads.
Besides, “disaster looming” always makes the news. “Everything’s fine” is rarely newsworthy, although it should be.
Indeed. Money that moves = people can scoop off a little of it as it flows by. Money that sits doesn’t do anybody any good.
But I’d prefer a more balanced model than that.
In the end, I focus on what I can do. I recycle.. I try not to generate excess waste. Beyond that? Not much I can do for China.
Nah. Futurism is fun. Almost everybody gets future predictions wrong most of the time except for the easier ones. Even this video could be entirely wrong, as convincing as it is.
I speak my real feelings and opinions. I do it with diplomacy and tact in mind most of the time but that’s not lying, just being civil.
Sometimes. Sometimes it’s also neglect . Busy parents that are too busy to bother parenting leave little johnny to need attention. Since his parents only attention to his negative behavior, that’s the kind of attention he looks for in others. So, that’s another direction that can lead to bullies.
Yeah, the 2nd thing you said seems to be what GenY was cursed with.